o Analyze results, identify trends and predict outcomes for NFL, NBA, WTA and ATP matches.

o Assign player fantasy sports value, measure player efficiency, and compare and rank teams across eras.

Sunday, September 23, 2012

NFL 2012, Week 2: Hedging the Straight-Line (Projections)



9/23/2012

Hedging the Straight-Line



WEEK 2

NFL 2012 Season
















Home

Away
Hedging

Straight Line
Projected Total Score
Green Bay Packers

Chicago Bears
4.22

-1.28
39.0
Buffalo Bills

Kansas City Chiefs
-1.40

-1.50
53.0
Carolina Panthers

New Orleans Saints
1.89

9.78
44.0
Cincinnati Bengals

Cleveland Browns
5.79

0.65
52.0
Indianapolis Colts

Minnesota Vikings
11.20

5.91
48.0
Jacksonville Jaguars

Houston Texans
11.87

7.93
46.0
Miami Dolphins

Oakland Raiders
4.91

3.81
46.0
New England Patriots

Arizona Cardinals
-8.92

-6.58
42.0
New York Giants

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-0.50

-4.58
51.0
Philadelphia Eagles

Baltimore Ravens
6.19

8.31
54.0
St. Louis Rams

Washington Redskins
4.97

8.28
53.0
Seattle Seahawks

Dallas Cowboys
1.88

3.90
39.0
Pittsburgh Steelers

New York Jets
10.02

10.38
45.0
San Diego Chargers

Tennessee Titans
-11.08

-2.73
48.0
San Francisco 49ers

Detroit Lions
8.06

3.40
44.0
Atlanta Falcons

Denver Broncos
-3.83

-1.27
41.0

NFL 2012, Week 1: Hedging the Straight-Line (Projections)



9/22/2012

Hedging the Straight-Line (Projections)



WEEK 1

NFL 2012 Season















Home

Away
Hedging

Straight Line
Projected Total Score
New York Giants

Dallas Cowboys
-3.96

-3.26
49.0
Chicago Bears

Indianapolis Colts
-6.52

-4.37
38.0
Cleveland Browns

Philadelphia Eagles
14.44

7.47
41.0
New York Jets

Buffalo Bills
-2.31

-2.39
41.0
New Orleans Saints

Washington Redskins
-16.22

-9.26
54.0
Tennessee Titans

New England Patriots
11.27

5.99
53.0
Minnesota Vikings

Jacksonville Jaguars
-9.05

-5.78
36.0
Houston Texans

Miami Dolphins
-8.76

-5.59
43.0
Detroit Lions

St. Louis Rams
-19.92

-11.04
42.0
Kansas City Chiefs

Atlanta Falcons
15.28

7.96
35.0
Green Bay Packers

San Francisco 49ers
-11.64

-7.20
61.0
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Carolina Panthers
10.19

5.36
41.0
Arizona Cardinals

Seattle Seahawks
6.89

3.83
42.0
Denver Broncos

Pittsburgh Steelers
3.63

2.15
42.0
Baltimore Ravens

Cincinnati Bengals
-4.98

-3.77
46.0
Oakland Raiders

San Diego Chargers
4.30

2.52
46.0