o Analyze results, identify trends and predict outcomes for NFL, NBA, WTA and ATP matches.

o Assign player fantasy sports value, measure player efficiency, and compare and rank teams across eras.

Wednesday, October 12, 2016

NFL 2016 Week 5 RESULTS- Hedging the Straight Line

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This Week’s Steady Performers:

1)  Buffalo Bills – won 5 out of 5 slots

2)  Arizona Cardinals – won 5 out of 5 slots

3)  New England Patriots – won the two projected and the O/U

4)  Green Bay Packers – won 5 out of 5 slots


Monday, October 10, 2016

NFL 2016 Week 5 MNF Bucs Panthers - Hedging the Straight Line

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For tonight's game: 
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers


1) Bucs to lose by 6.3 points -- projected

2) Panthers to win by 9.1 points -- projected

3) Opening Spread -- Panthers (-6.5 points)

4) Projected O/U 49.93

5) Actual O/U 41.00


Thursday, October 06, 2016

NFL 2016 Week 5 TNF: Cards Niners - Hedging the Straight Line

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For tonight's game: 
Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers

1) Cardinals to win by 7 points -- projected

2) Niners to lose by 8 points -- projected

3) Opening Spread -- Cardinals -3.5

4) Projected O/U 44.14

5) Actual O/U 42.00

Wednesday, October 05, 2016

NFL 2016 Week 4 RESULTS- Hedging the Straight Line

This Week’s Steady Performers:

1)  Denver Broncos – won 4 out of 5 slots

2)  Cincinnati Bengals – won the two projected and the O/U

3)  Minnesota Vikings – won the two projected and split ATS (against the spread)

Monday, October 03, 2016

NFL 2016 Week 4 - Hedging the Straight Line


For tonight's game: NY Giants at Minnesota Vikings--

1) Giants to lose by 1 point -- projected
2) Vikings to win by 4 points -- projected
3) Opening Spread -- Viking -3.5
4) Projected O/U 45.70
5) Actual O/U 43.00


Tuesday, September 20, 2016

WTA US OPEN 2016 Finals Wrap-up

Angelique Kerber captured the world #1 ranking on her way to her second grand slam title and first US OPEN championship. She did it while only dropping one set in seven matches. That lone set loss came in the Finals against Karolina Pliskova, who defeated Serena Williams in the Semifinals. Pliskova had beaten Kerber the previous week to win the Western & Southern Open in Cincinnati.

Monday, September 19, 2016

Bears, Eagles, A Rush On Me - NFL 2016 MNF 2

Brandon Marshall - Denver Broncos
"After losing CenturyLink and Air Academy Credit Union as paid endorsements, entertainment mogul Russell Simmons has reached out to Marshall to get him to endorse “RushCard,” which is a prepaid Visa card."  --Curtis Crabtree

"Yes, they offer some convenience for the 25% of Americans who are unbanked or underbanked. But in exchange, prepaid cards charge exorbitant fees. Why not just educate people on how to bank smart and avoid fees through the use of fee-free FDIC-insured banks and credit unions? They do exist."  --CBS News 2011


Monday, September 12, 2016

Rams, Niners, A New Day - NFL 2016 MNF 1

"I’m talking about the Kaepernick Revolution that is currently underway. In short, we need a new National Anthem, one written by a non-bigot."

--Doni Glover







Sunday, September 04, 2016

My WTA US OPEN 2016 - Finals Pick, BRACKET FOUR



BRACKET FOUR

7 R. Vinci – Roberta plays the role of crafty veteran so well. She knows most players want to stand behind the baseline and hit away. I had Vinci losing to Christina McHale because Vinci has played a lot of tennis this past year. In recent outings, it seemed fatigue might have gotten to her. The amount of play has paid off because she has won enough to boost her points to keep her into the Top 10 in the rankings. This, in turn, has helped her avoid a seeded player this far into the tournament.

My WTA US OPEN 2016 - Finals Pick, BRACKET THREE



BRACKET THREE
8 M. Keys – I had Madison losing to Garbine Muguruza in the quarterfinals. Now, that moves her to a potential matchup against Angelique Kerber, provided she reaches the appropriate level of focus. She has dodged two losses in the first three rounds and can no longer press her luck.


My WTA US OPEN 2016 - Finals Pick, BRACKET TWO



BRACKET TWO
3 A. Radwanska – I had Aga reaching here and losing to Timea Bacsinszky, the second biggest disappointment of the tournament. She wins this round and likely faces Venus Williams. Depending on who has the tougher match this round, I could see Radwanska reaching the Semis.




My WTA US OPEN 2016 - Finals Pick, BRACKET ONE


Another major tournament and again the biggest disappointment is Garbine Muguruza, who lost in the second round. We are not being unfair to Muguruza. Ponder the numbers: 7 of the top 8 seeds made it to the Round of 16, and 4 of the next 8 seeds made it

That is not to say my bracket is not busted. IT IS!!!  I ended up with a 7 of 16 correct picks for a 43.75% output. Names in red were not my original selection, so I most likely will not pick them to go too far but I will give credit where it is due.

Sunday, August 28, 2016

My WTA US OPEN 2016 - 4th Round Picks, Bracket Four


Bracket
Player
Player
Player
Player
FOUR
C. McHale
21 I. Begu
14 P. Kvitova
2 A. Kerber






C. McHale is ready for that next step. To get there, she likely has to get through 7 R. Vinci and S. Lisicki.

My WTA US OPEN 2016 - 4th Round Picks, Bracket Three


Bracket
Player
Player
Player
Player
THREE
8 M. Keys
9 S. Kuznetsova
A. Petkovic
3 G. Muguruza






8 M. Keys should get through this part of the bracket but there's potential for dramatic matches against A. Riske, M. Brengle and N. Osaka who might upset 28 C. Vandeweghe, who is coming off an ankle injury.

My WTA US OPEN 2016 - 4th Round Picks, Bracket Two



Bracket
Player
Player
Player
Player
TWO
4 A. Radwanska
15 T. Bacsinszky
K. Mladenovic
6 V. Williams






4 A. Radwanska should push through with no problems, but it would be interesting to see what happens if E. Bouchard is her third round opponent, only because Bouchard is at that point where she needs to put up or...

My WTA US OPEN 2016 - 4th Round Picks, Bracket One



Bracket
Player
Player
Player
Player
ONE
1 S. Williams
16 S. Stosur
19 E. Vesnina
5 S. Halep





1 S.Williams tough first rounder versus E. Makarova and a star-filled potential third rounder against 29 A. Ivanovic

Tuesday, July 12, 2016

WTA Wimbledon 2016 Finals Wrap-up



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When it comes to Tennis, picking the favorite to win a grand slam title is easy. I had Serena winning Wimbledon 2016, yet I was one match away from picking her opponent. Angelique Kerber solidified her Top 2 ranking. She, Garbine Muguruza and Victoria Azarenka are three bona fide opponents who will stand in Serena’s way as she tries to reach the ultimate record of 25 women’s grand slam singles titles.

Monday, July 04, 2016

My WTA Wimbledon 2016 Finals Pick



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The biggest disappointment was Garbine Muguruza losing in the second round. She lost early in the Mallorca Open but that could be seen as the hangover from her winning the French Open. What she learned in this Wimbledon is that other players see her as their potential “biggest” victory and are bringing their best.



A quick look at the numbers: 5 of the top 8 seeds made it to the Round of 16; only 3 of the next 8 seeds made it. That is where we get the two additional surprises, in addition to the two upsets I picked. Funny enough, the two slots did produce upstarts, just not the ones I picked.  I ended up with a 56% output of picks correctly selected. 

Monday, June 27, 2016

My WTA Wimbledon 2016 - 4th Round Picks



1 S.Williams v. H. Watson, if Heather Watson progresses after facing a tough 1st Round match-up against Annika Beck and potential 2nd Round against 31 Kristina Mladenovic.



13 S. Kuznetsova v. 18 S. Stephens, if Svetlana Kuznetsova gets by Caroline Wozniacki. It's hard to pick Sloane in this potential match-up, not knowing whether she'll be tuned in.


27 C. Vandeweghe has been playing well and this a great opportunity for her. On the other side of the ledger, Alison Riske or 6 Roberta Vinci are the potential opponents.
  

Sunday, June 26, 2016

EvenMoney’s 2016 NBA Draft Review


Using these four measures, we evaluated the value a player brought based on where picked by a team.

-- Actual Draft Position
-- BPM Final Aggregate -- Defined here.
-- BPM Drafted Rank  --  Ranking of the NCAA players drafted who met the Minutes Played requirement.
-- Actual to BPM -- Differential of the two measures.



Thursday, June 23, 2016

EvenMoney’s 2016 NBA Draft Big Board

We have gone away from our past ways of doing the NBA Draft Big Board by selecting the Top 60 players using our model and its 4 metrics.

Our Big Board does not account for players who did not play 450 minutes or more at a NCAA college this past season. We have separated players based on Class Year, and factored in their class year and the final RPI Rankings into their final BPM (Ball Player Money) Value.

Monday, June 06, 2016

WTA French Open 2016 Finals Wrap-up




Coming in as the fourth seed and playing great tennis, I picked Garbine Muguruza to face Serena Williams, the number one seed, in the Finals of the WTA French Open 2016. Though I am high on her potential, I did not have her winning this match. But, she did it, and earned it with her customary baseline to baseline prowess.