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Wednesday, November 16, 2016

NFL 2016 Week 9 RESULTS- Hedging the Straight Line

http://www.gannett-cdn.com/-mm-/e83f8abfed953a35be6e664c5c72019804bfd063/c=0-17-735-998&r=537&c=0  -0-534-712/local/-/media/2016/08/26/USATODAY/USATODAY/636078024236069829-elliott.JPG

Week 9 belonged to these Division leaders:

1)  Dallas Cowboys – continued dominating, won 4 slots and surprisingly didn't make the OVER.

2)  Atlanta Falcons – did their part, won 3 slots and the OVER while distancing themselves from their division.

3)  Kansas City Chiefs – showed they could win a slugfest - 3 slots, including the UNDER.

4)  Detroit Lions – nice Underdog win, both slots ATS and the UNDER.
     
5)  Seattle Seahawks – We will keep last week's warning: Not likely to cover or get covered.







PROJECTED SPREAD
ACTUAL SPREADS
PROJ ECTED
ACTUAL
Team_Away
Team_Home
 Spread Away
 Spread Home
 AWAY FAV
 HOME FAV
 OVER UNDER
 OVER UNDER
Atlanta
Tampa Bay
(5.17)
2.20
       (3.50)
          -   
     55.15
    51.00
Jacksonville
Kansas City
5.80
(6.00)
             -  
    (8.50)
     44.50
    45.50
Detroit
Minnesota
1.67
(4.60)
             -  
    (5.50)
     39.43
    41.00
Philadelphia
NY Giants
(5.60)
2.40
             -  
    (2.50)
     42.00
    43.00
Dallas
Cleveland
(11.00)
9.33
       (7.50)
          -  
     48.90
    48.50
NY Jets
Miami
10.50
0.80
             -  
    (3.50)
     43.22
    44.00
Pittsburgh
Baltimore
2.00
3.40
             -  
    (1.50)
     43.30
    43.50
New Orleans
San Francisco
2.00
16.80
       (3.50)
          -  
     58.00
    52.00
Carolina
Los Angeles
4.60
2.40
       (2.50)
          -  
     50.70
    44.50
Indianapolis
Green Bay
0.67
(3.00)
             -  
    (6.50)
     50.53
    54.00
Tennessee
San Diego
(1.17)
0.83
             -  
    (4.50)
     51.50
    47.00
Denver
Oakland
(7.17)
(3.00)
             -  
    (0.50)
     43.42
    44.00
Buffalo
Seattle
(8.67)
(6.50)
             -  
    (6.50)
     50.42
    44.00






















PROJECTED SPREAD
ACTUAL SPREADS
PROJ ECTED
ACTUAL
Team_Away
Team_Home
 Spread Away
 Spread Home
 AWAY ATS
 HOME ATS
 Variance
 OVER UNDER
Atlanta
Tampa Bay
 WON
 WON
 WON
 LOSS
15.85
 WON
Jacksonville
Kansas City
 LOSS
 LOSS
 WON
 WON
(11.50)
 WON
Detroit
Minnesota
 LOSS
 LOSS
 WON
 WON
(1.43)
 WON
Philadelphia
NY Giants
 LOSS
 LOSS
 LOSS
 LOSS
9.00
 LOSS
Dallas
Cleveland
 WON
 WON
 WON
 WON
(3.90)
 LOSS
NY Jets
Miami
 LOSS
 LOSS
 WON
 LOSS
6.78
 LOSS
Pittsburgh
Baltimore
 WON
 LOSS
 WON
 LOSS
(8.30)
 WON
New Orleans
San Francisco
 LOSS
 WON
 LOSS
 WON
6.00
 WON
Carolina
Los Angeles
 LOSS
 WON
 LOSS
 LOSS
(27.70)
 LOSS
Indianapolis
Green Bay
 LOSS
 LOSS
 WON
 WON
6.47
 LOSS
Tennessee
San Diego
 LOSS
 LOSS
 LOSS
 LOSS
26.50
 WON
Denver
Oakland
 LOSS
 WON
 LOSS
 WON
6.58
 LOSS
Buffalo
Seattle
 LOSS
 LOSS
 WON
 WON
5.58
 WON

















WINS
3
5
8
7

7

LOSSES
10
8
5
6

6
 

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