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Showing posts with label dallas cowboys. Show all posts
Showing posts with label dallas cowboys. Show all posts

Thursday, February 09, 2017

Wednesday, November 16, 2016

NFL 2016 Week 9 RESULTS- Hedging the Straight Line

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Week 9 belonged to these Division leaders:

1)  Dallas Cowboys – continued dominating, won 4 slots and surprisingly didn't make the OVER.

2)  Atlanta Falcons – did their part, won 3 slots and the OVER while distancing themselves from their division.

3)  Kansas City Chiefs – showed they could win a slugfest - 3 slots, including the UNDER.

4)  Detroit Lions – nice Underdog win, both slots ATS and the UNDER.
     
5)  Seattle Seahawks – We will keep last week's warning: Not likely to cover or get covered.

Thursday, November 03, 2016

NFL 2016 Week 8 RESULTS- Hedging the Straight Line


Week 8 was one with inconsistent results and forces us to look at the division leaders.

1)  New England Patriots – continues to cover and has a 3 game lead in AFC East.

2)  Pittsburgh Steelers – Bye Week, lost previous two games and won the two before (big).

3)  Houston Texans – covered and is 2-2 in past 4 games. Covers when Favorite, and doesn't beat spread when the Underdog.

Thursday, October 20, 2016

NFL 2016 Week 6 RESULTS- Hedging the Straight Line

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This Week’s theme was Return of the Underdogs, as 11 beat the Spread:

1)  Kansas City Chiefs – won 5 out of 5 slots

2)  Buffalo Bills – won the two projected and the Away ATS slot

3)  Dallas Cowboys – won the two ATS slots and the O/U

4)  Washington Redskins – won the two ATS slots and the O/U

5)  Miami Dolphins – won the two ATS slots and the O/U

Saturday, December 19, 2015

Is Jets' Best Good Enough? - NFL 2015 TNF 15

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The New York Jets are 8-5 and have one more win than I thought they'd get this season. Most of that credit goes to two people: Head Coach Todd Bowles and Quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick.

If the playoffs started today, the Jets would qualify as the sixth seed for the AFC playoffs. Yet, the Jets face long odds to make the playoffs. New York must win all of, or 2 of its final 3 games. In the latter scenario, they would be counting on the Pittsburgh Steelers to also lose one or more games.

The problem with that is the Steelers face only one tough game - this week's matchup with the Denver Broncos. For the Jets, tonight's matchup against the Dallas Cowboys is technically their only easy game. A loss tonight and the Jets give hope to countless teams that are slightly out of the playoff picture.

Looking back on this season, only two of their five losses count as games the Jets should have done better. Even in those games -- Weeks 10 and 11 -- the Jets faced teams that are on their level, with one (Buffalo Bills) being their Week 17 opponent.

Have the Jets done their best and will they continue to do so? Can they win all 3 or even 2 of their remaining games?


Though not dominant, the defense has stabilized, keeping teams to under 25 points in the last 6 weeks. This has led to a 4-2 record where the offense has proven to be the unpredictable force, scoring just 17 points in both losses.

The Jets are 7-1 when they score 21+ points, and 1-5 when they don't. The bottom line is the Dallas Cowboys do not have enough offensive output to beat the New York Jets. The Cowboys are averaging 16.16 points in their last 6 games, scoring under 20 points in 4 of these games.

For tonight, NY Jets At Dallas (+3.5; 41), the question is whether the Cowboys' best good enough to stop the Jets from scoring.

Jets' Head Coach Bowles has shown a lot of confidence in his offense, particularly Ryan Fitzpatrick, who in turn has not thrown too many interceptions. The Cowboys defense can go either way so Fitzpatrick needs to limit his risks.

The numbers tilt at .947 for the New York Jets to win by 6 points.

So, I take Jets (UNDER) because I think Bowles and Fitzpatrick know what's at stake. Pick wisely, come back for Sunday's picks and until then always do your best.

Sunday, September 23, 2012

NFL 2012, Week 1: Hedging the Straight-Line (Results)



9/23/2012

Hedging the Straight-Line



WEEK 1

NFL 2012 Season















Home

Away
Final Spread (difference)
Final Total Score
Result
Score Variance
New York Giants

Dallas Cowboys
7
41
L
8
Chicago Bears

Indianapolis Colts
-20
62
W
-24
Cleveland Browns

Philadelphia Eagles
1
33
L
8
New York Jets

Buffalo Bills
-20
76
W
-35
New Orleans Saints

Washington Redskins
8
72
L
-18
Tennessee Titans

New England Patriots
21
47
W
6
Minnesota Vikings

Jacksonville Jaguars
-3
49
L
-13
Houston Texans

Miami Dolphins
-20
40
W
3
Detroit Lions

St. Louis Rams
-4
50
L
-8
Kansas City Chiefs

Atlanta Falcons
16
64
W
-29
Green Bay Packers

San Francisco 49ers
8
52
L
9
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Carolina Panthers
-6
26
L
15
Arizona Cardinals

Seattle Seahawks
-4
36
L
6
Denver Broncos

Pittsburgh Steelers
-12
50
L
-8
Baltimore Ravens

Cincinnati Bengals
-31
57
W
-11
Oakland Raiders

San Diego Chargers
8
36
W
10





W 7
-5





L 9

NFL 2012, Week 1: Hedging the Straight-Line (Projections)



9/22/2012

Hedging the Straight-Line (Projections)



WEEK 1

NFL 2012 Season















Home

Away
Hedging

Straight Line
Projected Total Score
New York Giants

Dallas Cowboys
-3.96

-3.26
49.0
Chicago Bears

Indianapolis Colts
-6.52

-4.37
38.0
Cleveland Browns

Philadelphia Eagles
14.44

7.47
41.0
New York Jets

Buffalo Bills
-2.31

-2.39
41.0
New Orleans Saints

Washington Redskins
-16.22

-9.26
54.0
Tennessee Titans

New England Patriots
11.27

5.99
53.0
Minnesota Vikings

Jacksonville Jaguars
-9.05

-5.78
36.0
Houston Texans

Miami Dolphins
-8.76

-5.59
43.0
Detroit Lions

St. Louis Rams
-19.92

-11.04
42.0
Kansas City Chiefs

Atlanta Falcons
15.28

7.96
35.0
Green Bay Packers

San Francisco 49ers
-11.64

-7.20
61.0
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Carolina Panthers
10.19

5.36
41.0
Arizona Cardinals

Seattle Seahawks
6.89

3.83
42.0
Denver Broncos

Pittsburgh Steelers
3.63

2.15
42.0
Baltimore Ravens

Cincinnati Bengals
-4.98

-3.77
46.0
Oakland Raiders

San Diego Chargers
4.30

2.52
46.0