NFL 2016 Divisional Playoffs RESULTS - Hedging the Straight Line

Seattle Seahawks vs Atlanta Falcons

Houston Texans vs New England Patriots

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys

NFL 2016 Week 9 RESULTS- Hedging the Straight Line

Week 9 belonged to these Division leaders:

1)  Dallas Cowboys – continued dominating, won 4 slots and surprisingly didn't make the OVER.

2)  Atlanta Falcons – did their part, won 3 slots and the OVER while distancing themselves from their division.

3)  Kansas City Chiefs – showed they could win a slugfest - 3 slots, including the UNDER.

4)  Detroit Lions – nice Underdog win, both slots ATS and the UNDER.
     
5)  Seattle Seahawks – We will keep last week's warning: Not likely to cover or get covered.

NFL 2016 Week 8 RESULTS- Hedging the Straight Line

Week 8 was one with inconsistent results and forces us to look at the division leaders.

1)  New England Patriots – continues to cover and has a 3 game lead in AFC East.

2)  Pittsburgh Steelers – Bye Week, lost previous two games and won the two before (big).

3)  Houston Texans – covered and is 2-2 in past 4 games. Covers when Favorite, and doesn't beat spread when the Underdog.

NFL 2016 Week 6 RESULTS- Hedging the Straight Line

This Week’s theme was Return of the Underdogs, as 11 beat the Spread:

1)  Kansas City Chiefs – won 5 out of 5 slots

2)  Buffalo Bills – won the two projected and the Away ATS slot

3)  Dallas Cowboys – won the two ATS slots and the O/U

4)  Washington Redskins – won the two ATS slots and the O/U

5)  Miami Dolphins – won the two ATS slots and the O/U

Is Jets' Best Good Enough? - NFL 2015 TNF 15

The New York Jets are 8-5 and have one more win than I thought they'd get this season. Most of that credit goes to two people: Head Coach Todd Bowles and Quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick.

If the playoffs started today, the Jets would qualify as the sixth seed for the AFC playoffs. Yet, the Jets face long odds to make the playoffs. New York must win all of, or 2 of its final 3 games. In the latter scenario, they would be counting on the Pittsburgh Steelers to also lose one or more games.

The problem with that is the Steelers face only one tough game - this week's matchup with the Denver Broncos. For the Jets, tonight's matchup against the Dallas Cowboys is technically their only easy game. A loss tonight and the Jets give hope to countless teams that are slightly out of the playoff picture.

Looking back on this season, only two of their five losses count as games the Jets should have done better. Even in those games -- Weeks 10 and 11 -- the Jets faced teams that are on their level, with one (Buffalo Bills) being their Week 17 opponent.

Have the Jets done their best and will they continue to do so? Can they win all 3 or even 2 of their remaining games?

Though not dominant, the defense has stabilized, keeping teams to under 25 points in the last 6 weeks. This has led to a 4-2 record where the offense has proven to be the unpredictable force, scoring just 17 points in both losses.

The Jets are 7-1 when they score 21+ points, and 1-5 when they don't. The bottom line is the Dallas Cowboys do not have enough offensive output to beat the New York Jets. The Cowboys are averaging 16.16 points in their last 6 games, scoring under 20 points in 4 of these games.

For tonight, NY Jets At Dallas (+3.5; 41), the question is whether the Cowboys' best good enough to stop the Jets from scoring.

Jets' Head Coach Bowles has shown a lot of confidence in his offense, particularly Ryan Fitzpatrick, who in turn has not thrown too many interceptions. The Cowboys defense can go either way so Fitzpatrick needs to limit his risks.

The numbers tilt at .947 for the New York Jets to win by 6 points.

So, I take Jets (UNDER) because I think Bowles and Fitzpatrick know what's at stake. Pick wisely, come back for Sunday's picks and until then always do your best.

NFL 2012, Week 1: Hedging the Straight-Line (Results)

9/23/2012		Hedging the Straight-Line
WEEK 1		NFL 2012 Season
		by Guichard Cadet
Home		Away	Final Spread (difference)	Final Total Score	Result	Score Variance
New York Giants		Dallas Cowboys	7	41	L	8
Chicago Bears		Indianapolis Colts	-20	62	W	-24
Cleveland Browns		Philadelphia Eagles	1	33	L	8
New York Jets		Buffalo Bills	-20	76	W	-35
New Orleans Saints		Washington Redskins	8	72	L	-18
Tennessee Titans		New England Patriots	21	47	W	6
Minnesota Vikings		Jacksonville Jaguars	-3	49	L	-13
Houston Texans		Miami Dolphins	-20	40	W	3
Detroit Lions		St. Louis Rams	-4	50	L	-8
Kansas City Chiefs		Atlanta Falcons	16	64	W	-29
Green Bay Packers		San Francisco 49ers	8	52	L	9
Tampa Bay Buccaneers		Carolina Panthers	-6	26	L	15
Arizona Cardinals		Seattle Seahawks	-4	36	L	6
Denver Broncos		Pittsburgh Steelers	-12	50	L	-8
Baltimore Ravens		Cincinnati Bengals	-31	57	W	-11
Oakland Raiders		San Diego Chargers	8	36	W	10
					W 7	-5
					L 9

NFL 2012, Week 1: Hedging the Straight-Line (Projections)

9/22/2012		Hedging the Straight-Line (Projections)
WEEK 1		NFL 2012 Season
		by Guichard Cadet
Home		Away	Hedging		Straight Line	Projected Total Score
New York Giants		Dallas Cowboys	-3.96		-3.26	49.0
Chicago Bears		Indianapolis Colts	-6.52		-4.37	38.0
Cleveland Browns		Philadelphia Eagles	14.44		7.47	41.0
New York Jets		Buffalo Bills	-2.31		-2.39	41.0
New Orleans Saints		Washington Redskins	-16.22		-9.26	54.0
Tennessee Titans		New England Patriots	11.27		5.99	53.0
Minnesota Vikings		Jacksonville Jaguars	-9.05		-5.78	36.0
Houston Texans		Miami Dolphins	-8.76		-5.59	43.0
Detroit Lions		St. Louis Rams	-19.92		-11.04	42.0
Kansas City Chiefs		Atlanta Falcons	15.28		7.96	35.0
Green Bay Packers		San Francisco 49ers	-11.64		-7.20	61.0
Tampa Bay Buccaneers		Carolina Panthers	10.19		5.36	41.0
Arizona Cardinals		Seattle Seahawks	6.89		3.83	42.0
Denver Broncos		Pittsburgh Steelers	3.63		2.15	42.0
Baltimore Ravens		Cincinnati Bengals	-4.98		-3.77	46.0
Oakland Raiders		San Diego Chargers	4.30		2.52	46.0