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Saturday, December 31, 2016

NFL 2016 Week 16 RESULTS - Hedging the Straight Line

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Week 16 -- Unpredictable Outcomes at the Stretch

1)  Miami Dolphins –  won 4 slots in a Projected toss-up while clinching a playoff spot.

2)  Washington Redskins – won 4 slots and with a win in Week 17 they make the playoffs.

3)  Atlanta Falcons – won 4 slots in a dominating performance and clinched the NFC South division.

Thursday, December 22, 2016

NFL 2016 Week 15 RESULTS - Hedging the Straight Line

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Week 15 -- Battle for divisions and precarious playoff positions.

1)  Indianapolis Colts –  won 5 slots, kept their division title hopes in play and pretty much knocked the Minnesota Vikings out of playoffs consideration.

2)  New England Patriots – won 4 slots, clinched AFC East and put a hurt on the Denver Broncos' playoff hopes.

Wednesday, December 14, 2016

NFL 2016 Week 14 RESULTS - Hedging the Straight Line


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Week 14 -- Playoff pretenders pushed down (and out).

1)  Pittsburgh Steelers –  won 5 slots and  knocked the Philadelphia Eagles out of playoffs consideration.

2)  Detroit Lions – won 4 slots and maintained a two game lead in the NFC North.

3)  Cincinnati Bengals – won 4 slots while keeping the Cleveland Browns winless.


Wednesday, December 07, 2016

NFL 2016 Week 13 RESULTS - Hedging the Straight Line

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Week 13 -- Favorites dominated for the most part.
1)  Cincinnati Bengals –  won 4 slots and essentially knocked the Philadelphia Eagles out of playoffs consideration.

2)  Denver Broncos – won 3 slots and covered the Spread though not projected to do so.

Wednesday, November 30, 2016

NFL 2016 Week 12 RESULTS - Hedging the Straight Line

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Week 12 -- features three teams fighting for their division and two more clinging to playoff hopes.

1)  New York Giants –  on a 6 game winning streak, still have chance to win NFC East, and won 4 slots including the Under.

2)  Buffalo Bills – not projected to cover the Spread but nearly did and won 4 slots including the OVER.

Tuesday, November 22, 2016

NFL 2016 Week 11 RESULTS- Hedging the Straight Line

Week 11 -- four teams looking to change their playoff fortune.

1)  Washington Redskins –  a dominating performance, covering all 5 slots, to stay in the conversation for the division and playoffs.

2)  Miami Dolphins – another nice Road win, won 4 slots but not the OVER.

3)  Carolina Panthers – won 4 slots including the Under and kept their playoffs hopes alive.

Thursday, November 17, 2016

NFL 2016 Week 11 TNF: Saints Panthers - Hedging the Straight Line

For tonight's game: 

New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers--

1) Saints to WIN by 3.6 points -- projected

2) Panthers to WIN by 0.8 points -- projected

3) Opening Spread -- Panthers (-3.5)

4) Projected O/U 50.40

5) Actual O/U 52.00

Wednesday, November 16, 2016

NFL 2016 Week 10 RESULTS- Hedging the Straight Line

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 Week 10 Steady Performers:

1)  Kansas City Chiefs – won another slugfest, 4 slots, but stayed UNDER.

2)  Tennessee Titans – a dominating performance as an Underdog, winning 4 slots, including the OVER.

3)  Washington Redskins – handled their 2 slots plus 1 more slot with the OVER.

4)  Miami Dolphins – nice on the Road Underdog win, kept themselves in playoff mix, won both slots ATS and the OVER.

NFL 2016 Week 9 RESULTS- Hedging the Straight Line

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Week 9 belonged to these Division leaders:

1)  Dallas Cowboys – continued dominating, won 4 slots and surprisingly didn't make the OVER.

2)  Atlanta Falcons – did their part, won 3 slots and the OVER while distancing themselves from their division.

3)  Kansas City Chiefs – showed they could win a slugfest - 3 slots, including the UNDER.

4)  Detroit Lions – nice Underdog win, both slots ATS and the UNDER.
     
5)  Seattle Seahawks – We will keep last week's warning: Not likely to cover or get covered.

Thursday, November 10, 2016

NFL 2016 Week 10 TNF: Browns Ravens - Hedging the Straight Line

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For tonight's game: 

Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens--

1) Browns to lose by 12.5 points -- projected

2) Ravens to lose by 2.4 points -- projected

3) Opening Spread -- Ravens (-9.5)

4) Projected O/U 45.85

5) Actual O/U 44.00

Thursday, November 03, 2016

NFL 2016 Week 9 TNF: Falcons Bucs - Hedging the Straight Line

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For tonight's game:

Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers--

1) Falcons to win by 5 points -- projected

2) Bucs to lose by 2 points -- projected

3) Spread -- Falcons (-3.5)

4) Projected O/U 55.15

5) Actual O/U 51.00

NFL 2016 Week 8 RESULTS- Hedging the Straight Line


Week 8 was one with inconsistent results and forces us to look at the division leaders.

1)  New England Patriots – continues to cover and has a 3 game lead in AFC East.

2)  Pittsburgh Steelers – Bye Week, lost previous two games and won the two before (big).

3)  Houston Texans – covered and is 2-2 in past 4 games. Covers when Favorite, and doesn't beat spread when the Underdog.

Monday, October 31, 2016

NFL 2016 Week 8 MNF Vikings Bears - Hedging the Straight Line

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For tonight's game:

Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears--

1) Vikings to win by 7 points -- projected

2) Bears to lose by 8 points -- projected

3) Opening Spread -- Vikings (-5.5 points)

4) Projected O/U 37.45

5) Actual O/U 41.00

Thursday, October 27, 2016

NFL 2016 Week 8 TNF: Jaguars Titans - Hedging the Straight Line

http://a.fssta.com/content/dam/fsdigital/fscom/nfl/images/2016/10/14/9597777-demarco-murray-nfl-tennessee-titans-miami-dolphins.jpgFor tonight's game: 

Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans--

1) Jaguars to lose by 7.8 points -- projected

2) Titans to lose by 1 point -- projected

3) Spread -- Titans (-3.5)

4) Projected O/U 44.87

5) Actual O/U 43.50

NFL 2016 Week 7 RESULTS- Hedging the Straight Line

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Week 7 was pretty much a split between Favorites and Underdogs.

1)  New Orleans Saints – won 4 slots, lost the game and surprisingly didn't make the OVER.

2)  San Diego Chargers – won 4 slots and kept their season alive.

3)  Green Bay Packers – won the two ATS slots and the O/U

4)  Denver Broncos – won the two ATS slots and the O/U

Monday, October 24, 2016

NFL 2016 Week 7 MNF Texans Broncos - Hedging the Straight Line

For tonight's game: 

Houston Texans at Denver Broncos--

1) Texans to lose by 3 points -- projected

2) Broncos to win by 5 points -- projected

3) Opening Spread -- Broncos (-7.5 points)

4) Projected O/U 40.25

5) Actual O/U 40.50

Sunday, October 23, 2016

WTA Finals 2016 Singapore



Since the US Open ended six weeks ago, WTA players have been on the “Asian Swing”, the Road to Singapore. These six weeks of tournaments make up the end of their ten-month season and lead to the WTA Finals Singapore.

Unlike other WTA tournaments, Singapore is not single-elimination, but a round-robin for two groups of four Singles players. Each player plays three matches, and the top two players in each group face off against the other group in two semi-final matches and an eventual championship match.

Thursday, October 20, 2016

NFL 2016 Week 7 TNF: Bears Packers - Hedging the Straight Line

For tonight's game: 

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers

1) Packers to win by 0.20 points -- projected

2) Bears to lose by 7 points -- projected

3) Spread -- Packers (-7.5)

4) Projected O/U 43.03

5) Actual O/U 46.00

NFL 2016 Week 6 RESULTS- Hedging the Straight Line

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This Week’s theme was Return of the Underdogs, as 11 beat the Spread:

1)  Kansas City Chiefs – won 5 out of 5 slots

2)  Buffalo Bills – won the two projected and the Away ATS slot

3)  Dallas Cowboys – won the two ATS slots and the O/U

4)  Washington Redskins – won the two ATS slots and the O/U

5)  Miami Dolphins – won the two ATS slots and the O/U

Monday, October 17, 2016

NFL 2016 Week 6 MNF Jets Cardinals - Hedging the Straight Line

For tonight's game: 

New York Jets at Arizona Cardinals--

1) Jets to win by 1.38 points -- projected

2) Cardinals to win by 7.17 points -- projected

3) Opening Spread -- Cardinals (-7.5 points)

4) Projected O/U 45.83

5) Actual O/U 46.50

Thursday, October 13, 2016

NFL 2016 Week 6 TNF: Broncos Chargers - Hedging the Straight Line

http://cbssports.com/images/blogs/philip-rivers-gloves-wins.jpgFor tonight's game: 

Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers--

1) Broncos to win by 5 points -- projected

2) Chargers to lose by 3 points -- projected

3) Opening Spread -- Broncos (-3.5)

4) Projected O/U 44.43

5) Actual O/U 45.00

Wednesday, October 12, 2016

NFL 2016 Week 5 RESULTS- Hedging the Straight Line

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This Week’s Steady Performers:

1)  Buffalo Bills – won 5 out of 5 slots

2)  Arizona Cardinals – won 5 out of 5 slots

3)  New England Patriots – won the two projected and the O/U

4)  Green Bay Packers – won 5 out of 5 slots


Monday, October 10, 2016

NFL 2016 Week 5 MNF Bucs Panthers - Hedging the Straight Line

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For tonight's game: 
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers


1) Bucs to lose by 6.3 points -- projected

2) Panthers to win by 9.1 points -- projected

3) Opening Spread -- Panthers (-6.5 points)

4) Projected O/U 49.93

5) Actual O/U 41.00


Thursday, October 06, 2016

NFL 2016 Week 5 TNF: Cards Niners - Hedging the Straight Line

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For tonight's game: 
Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers

1) Cardinals to win by 7 points -- projected

2) Niners to lose by 8 points -- projected

3) Opening Spread -- Cardinals -3.5

4) Projected O/U 44.14

5) Actual O/U 42.00

Wednesday, October 05, 2016

NFL 2016 Week 4 RESULTS- Hedging the Straight Line

This Week’s Steady Performers:

1)  Denver Broncos – won 4 out of 5 slots

2)  Cincinnati Bengals – won the two projected and the O/U

3)  Minnesota Vikings – won the two projected and split ATS (against the spread)

Monday, October 03, 2016

NFL 2016 Week 4 - Hedging the Straight Line


For tonight's game: NY Giants at Minnesota Vikings--

1) Giants to lose by 1 point -- projected
2) Vikings to win by 4 points -- projected
3) Opening Spread -- Viking -3.5
4) Projected O/U 45.70
5) Actual O/U 43.00


Tuesday, September 20, 2016

WTA US OPEN 2016 Finals Wrap-up

Angelique Kerber captured the world #1 ranking on her way to her second grand slam title and first US OPEN championship. She did it while only dropping one set in seven matches. That lone set loss came in the Finals against Karolina Pliskova, who defeated Serena Williams in the Semifinals. Pliskova had beaten Kerber the previous week to win the Western & Southern Open in Cincinnati.

Monday, September 19, 2016

Bears, Eagles, A Rush On Me - NFL 2016 MNF 2

Brandon Marshall - Denver Broncos
"After losing CenturyLink and Air Academy Credit Union as paid endorsements, entertainment mogul Russell Simmons has reached out to Marshall to get him to endorse “RushCard,” which is a prepaid Visa card."  --Curtis Crabtree

"Yes, they offer some convenience for the 25% of Americans who are unbanked or underbanked. But in exchange, prepaid cards charge exorbitant fees. Why not just educate people on how to bank smart and avoid fees through the use of fee-free FDIC-insured banks and credit unions? They do exist."  --CBS News 2011


Sunday, September 04, 2016

My WTA US OPEN 2016 - Finals Pick, BRACKET FOUR



BRACKET FOUR

7 R. Vinci – Roberta plays the role of crafty veteran so well. She knows most players want to stand behind the baseline and hit away. I had Vinci losing to Christina McHale because Vinci has played a lot of tennis this past year. In recent outings, it seemed fatigue might have gotten to her. The amount of play has paid off because she has won enough to boost her points to keep her into the Top 10 in the rankings. This, in turn, has helped her avoid a seeded player this far into the tournament.

My WTA US OPEN 2016 - Finals Pick, BRACKET THREE



BRACKET THREE
8 M. Keys – I had Madison losing to Garbine Muguruza in the quarterfinals. Now, that moves her to a potential matchup against Angelique Kerber, provided she reaches the appropriate level of focus. She has dodged two losses in the first three rounds and can no longer press her luck.


My WTA US OPEN 2016 - Finals Pick, BRACKET TWO



BRACKET TWO
3 A. Radwanska – I had Aga reaching here and losing to Timea Bacsinszky, the second biggest disappointment of the tournament. She wins this round and likely faces Venus Williams. Depending on who has the tougher match this round, I could see Radwanska reaching the Semis.




My WTA US OPEN 2016 - Finals Pick, BRACKET ONE


Another major tournament and again the biggest disappointment is Garbine Muguruza, who lost in the second round. We are not being unfair to Muguruza. Ponder the numbers: 7 of the top 8 seeds made it to the Round of 16, and 4 of the next 8 seeds made it

That is not to say my bracket is not busted. IT IS!!!  I ended up with a 7 of 16 correct picks for a 43.75% output. Names in red were not my original selection, so I most likely will not pick them to go too far but I will give credit where it is due.

Sunday, August 28, 2016

My WTA US OPEN 2016 - 4th Round Picks, Bracket Four


Bracket
Player
Player
Player
Player
FOUR
C. McHale
21 I. Begu
14 P. Kvitova
2 A. Kerber






C. McHale is ready for that next step. To get there, she likely has to get through 7 R. Vinci and S. Lisicki.

My WTA US OPEN 2016 - 4th Round Picks, Bracket Three


Bracket
Player
Player
Player
Player
THREE
8 M. Keys
9 S. Kuznetsova
A. Petkovic
3 G. Muguruza






8 M. Keys should get through this part of the bracket but there's potential for dramatic matches against A. Riske, M. Brengle and N. Osaka who might upset 28 C. Vandeweghe, who is coming off an ankle injury.

My WTA US OPEN 2016 - 4th Round Picks, Bracket Two



Bracket
Player
Player
Player
Player
TWO
4 A. Radwanska
15 T. Bacsinszky
K. Mladenovic
6 V. Williams






4 A. Radwanska should push through with no problems, but it would be interesting to see what happens if E. Bouchard is her third round opponent, only because Bouchard is at that point where she needs to put up or...

My WTA US OPEN 2016 - 4th Round Picks, Bracket One



Bracket
Player
Player
Player
Player
ONE
1 S. Williams
16 S. Stosur
19 E. Vesnina
5 S. Halep





1 S.Williams tough first rounder versus E. Makarova and a star-filled potential third rounder against 29 A. Ivanovic

Tuesday, July 12, 2016

WTA Wimbledon 2016 Finals Wrap-up



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When it comes to Tennis, picking the favorite to win a grand slam title is easy. I had Serena winning Wimbledon 2016, yet I was one match away from picking her opponent. Angelique Kerber solidified her Top 2 ranking. She, Garbine Muguruza and Victoria Azarenka are three bona fide opponents who will stand in Serena’s way as she tries to reach the ultimate record of 25 women’s grand slam singles titles.

Monday, July 04, 2016

My WTA Wimbledon 2016 Finals Pick



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The biggest disappointment was Garbine Muguruza losing in the second round. She lost early in the Mallorca Open but that could be seen as the hangover from her winning the French Open. What she learned in this Wimbledon is that other players see her as their potential “biggest” victory and are bringing their best.



A quick look at the numbers: 5 of the top 8 seeds made it to the Round of 16; only 3 of the next 8 seeds made it. That is where we get the two additional surprises, in addition to the two upsets I picked. Funny enough, the two slots did produce upstarts, just not the ones I picked.  I ended up with a 56% output of picks correctly selected. 

Monday, June 27, 2016

My WTA Wimbledon 2016 - 4th Round Picks



1 S.Williams v. H. Watson, if Heather Watson progresses after facing a tough 1st Round match-up against Annika Beck and potential 2nd Round against 31 Kristina Mladenovic.



13 S. Kuznetsova v. 18 S. Stephens, if Svetlana Kuznetsova gets by Caroline Wozniacki. It's hard to pick Sloane in this potential match-up, not knowing whether she'll be tuned in.


27 C. Vandeweghe has been playing well and this a great opportunity for her. On the other side of the ledger, Alison Riske or 6 Roberta Vinci are the potential opponents.
  

Sunday, June 26, 2016

EvenMoney’s 2016 NBA Draft Review


Using these four measures, we evaluated the value a player brought based on where picked by a team.

-- Actual Draft Position
-- BPM Final Aggregate -- Defined here.
-- BPM Drafted Rank  --  Ranking of the NCAA players drafted who met the Minutes Played requirement.
-- Actual to BPM -- Differential of the two measures.



Thursday, June 23, 2016

EvenMoney’s 2016 NBA Draft Big Board

We have gone away from our past ways of doing the NBA Draft Big Board by selecting the Top 60 players using our model and its 4 metrics.

Our Big Board does not account for players who did not play 450 minutes or more at a NCAA college this past season. We have separated players based on Class Year, and factored in their class year and the final RPI Rankings into their final BPM (Ball Player Money) Value.

Monday, June 06, 2016

WTA French Open 2016 Finals Wrap-up




Coming in as the fourth seed and playing great tennis, I picked Garbine Muguruza to face Serena Williams, the number one seed, in the Finals of the WTA French Open 2016. Though I am high on her potential, I did not have her winning this match. But, she did it, and earned it with her customary baseline to baseline prowess.

Sunday, May 29, 2016

My WTA French Open 2016 Finals Pick

I was expecting some surprises and upsets to reach this Round of 16 and compete for the second week of the WTA 2016 French Open. Unfortunately, my upsets did not pan out, leaving me with a 50% output of picks correctly selected. 

Names in red were not my original selection, so I most likely will not pick them to go too far but I will give credit where it is due.

http://media.gettyimages.com/photos/bulgarias-tsvetana-pironkova-reacts-after-winning-her-womens-third-picture-  id534704704





Bracket
Player
Player
Player
Player
ONE
1 S. Williams
18. E. Svitolina
12. C. Suarez Navarro
Y. Putintseva
TWO
K. Bertens
15 M. Keys
9. V. Williams
8 T. Bacsinszky
THREE
25 I. Begu
S. Rogers
13 S. Kuznetsova
4 G. Muguruza
FOUR
6. S. Halep
21. S. Stosur
T. Pironkova
2 A. Radwanska

PICKS


Sunday, May 22, 2016

My WTA: French Open 2016 - Round of 16 Picks


1.    The potential 2nd Round match-up between Madison Keys and Daria Gavrilova might be the best of the early tournament matches. Both aim for power but Keys has the upper hand. Gavrilova’s energy and willingness to chase balls down provides the balance. 


http://www2.pictures.zimbio.com/gi/Daria+Gavrilova+t3qOn8cJ0nRm.jpghttp://www3.pictures.zimbio.com/gi/2016+BNP+Paribas+Open+Day+6+rTxFshgUNA3l.jpg

 

Saturday, January 16, 2016

NFL 2015 NFC Divisional Round (Packers vs Cardinals)

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The Green Bay Packers are battle-tested. During the regular season, they played 6 of the 12 teams that qualified for this year's NFL playoffs. They won 3 and lost 4 of these games. They won 7 of their other 9 games.

Tonight the Packers face the Arizona Cardinals, one of the playoff teams that beat them. It was the Packers' worst loss of the season, a 38-8 drubbing where neither team bothered to score in the fourth quarter. This late season game further convinced people the Cardinals could come out of the NFC, and made more doubters for the Packers.

NFL 2015 AFC Divisional Round (Chiefs vs Patriots)

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Kansas City At New England (-5; 43.5) is an intriguing matchup because the Kansas City Chiefs have won 11 games in a row. Not only are the Chiefs getting the customary hedge of roughly 3 points for being the Away Underdog, they're getting an extra 2 points. These factors alone make this an easy ATS (against the spread) pick. Or, does it?

The New England Patriots have not looked dominant since Week 10, a last second win over the New York Giants. Their record since then is 3 Wins, 4 Losses. Of these losses, the one in Week 13 against the Philadelphia Eagles standout the most. Faced with various injuries, the outlook going into the game was the Patriots could beat the Eagles even when not at full-strength.

After leading early by 14 points, the Patriots faced a 21-point deficit in the fourth quarter. Though they mounted a comeback, it fell short. Since that time, it seems as if the Patriots packed it in for the season, in order to take care of injuries and dare I say to position themselves not to play one specific team (Pittsburgh Steelers) in this round of the playoffs.

I do not put much stock in the Patriots' last two losses of the season. At this point, five of the AFC six playoffs spots had been determined. The Patriots controlled their own destiny and they basically chose the second seed.

Injuries will be a big part of the story, mainly Rob Gronkowski (Patriots) and Jeremy Maclin (Chiefs). Both are listed as Questionable, with Gronkowski more likely to play. Without him, the Patriots offense is not as explosive and consistent. Without Maclin, the Chiefs do not have a passing game.

Already ranked near last this season in passing yards, this will put more pressure on the defense. The Chiefs defense has held the last 12 of 13 opponents to under 21 points. This sets up a great battle between one of the NFL's top secondaries and pass rushing defenses, and Tom Brady.

Brady led the NFL in Pass Attempts, Passing Yards and Passing TDs. He was pretty much New England's entire offense. The Patriots were ranked 30th in Rushing Yards and 5th in Passing Yards. Brady threw 2 or more TDs in 13 out of 16 games, so one can basically start the Patriots off with 14 to 21 points on the board.

The Patriots scored, at least, 20 points in 15 of their first 16 games this season. So, can the Chiefs score 21 or more points to edge out a victory? The Chiefs scored 21 points or more in 12 games this season.

With New England giving 5 points, the numbers favor the Chiefs (.789) because the Chiefs scored 17 or more points in all but two games this season.

So, I take the Chiefs (OVER), seeing this as well-balanced game on both sides of the ball, with the victor making the least costly turnover. Pick wisely, and check out the pick for the other playoff games.

Sunday, January 10, 2016

NFL 2015 NFC Wild Card (Packers vs Redskins)

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This NFL Wildcard matchup comes down to whether the Green Bay Packers can score 24 points. In the last 8 games, Green Bay's opponents have scored 23 or fewer points in 7 games. The Packers are 4-4 during this stretch.

In the first 8 games of the season, the Packers were 6-2 and scored 24 or more points 6 times. Their only loss when scoring over 23 points was to the Carolina Panthers.

The Washington Redskins performed along these same lines. In the last 8 games, Washington's opponents have scored 23 or few points in 5 games. The Redskins are 6-2 during this stretch.

For the Redskins, the defensive turnaround coincided with that of the offense, specifically Kirk Cousins. In the first 8 games, Cousins threw 10 Touchdowns and 9 Interceptions. He threw 19 TDs and 2 INTs in the last 8 games.

Can the Packers defense contain or rattle Cousins to get the much needed Interceptions? This matchup is a classic "pick them" -- Green Bay At Washington (PK; 47).

Though the numbers tilt to the Redskins (.947), the Redskins lost 5 games to non-playoff teams. The Packers lost 2 games to non-playoff teams.

So, I take the Packers (OVER). Pick wisely, and check out the pick for the other playoff games.