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Saturday, December 31, 2016

NFL 2016 Week 16 RESULTS - Hedging the Straight Line

http://phinphanatic.com/files/2016/10/9628126-jay-ajayi-nfl-buffalo-bills-miami-dolphins-2.jpg


Week 16 -- Unpredictable Outcomes at the Stretch

1)  Miami Dolphins –  won 4 slots in a Projected toss-up while clinching a playoff spot.

2)  Washington Redskins – won 4 slots and with a win in Week 17 they make the playoffs.

3)  Atlanta Falcons – won 4 slots in a dominating performance and clinched the NFC South division.

4)  Green Bay Packers – won 3 slots and control their playoff destiny if they win in Week 17.

5)  New England Patriots – won 3 slots and home field advantage throughout the playoffs.







PROJECTED SPREAD
ACTUAL SPREADS
PROJ ECTED
ACTUAL
Team_Away
Team_Home
 Spread Away
 Spread Home
 AWAY FAV
 HOME FAV
 OVER UNDER
 OVER UNDER
NY Giants
Philadelphia
(4.17)
6.67
       (2.50)
          -  
     38.75
    41.50
Washington
Chicago
(0.83)
4.00
       (2.50)
          -  
     47.58
    46.00
Miami
Buffalo
(1.67)
(1.67)
             -  
    (3.50)
     42.17
    42.00
Tampa Bay
New Orleans
(7.17)
(1.67)
             -  
    (2.50)
     45.08
    52.50
Atlanta
Carolina
(10.83)
2.17
       (3.50)
          -  
     45.17
    52.50
Minnesota
Green Bay
4.00
(2.17)
             -  
    (6.50)
     46.58
    43.00
NY Jets
New England
9.00
(7.83)
             -  
 (16.50)
     36.75
    44.00
Tennessee
Jacksonville
(4.33)
6.17
       (4.50)
          -  
     39.25
    44.00
San Diego
Cleveland
3.50
13.83
       (5.50)
          -  
     33.67
    44.00
Indianapolis
Oakland
(6.67)
(3.17)
             -  
    (3.50)
     37.58
    53.00
San Francisco
Los Angeles
12.83
15.67
             -  
    (3.50)
     41.58
    40.00
Arizona
Seattle
4.00
(5.83)
             -  
    (8.50)
     48.58
    43.50
Cincinnati
Houston
(2.83)
2.33
             -  
    (1.50)
     38.75
    41.00
Baltimore
Pittsburgh
(7.00)
(8.67)
             -  
    (4.50)
     43.67
    44.00
Denver
Kansas City
1.17
(1.83)
             -  
    (3.50)
     36.17
    37.50
Detroit
Dallas
(2.83)
(4.17)
             -  
    (6.50)
     36.33
    43.00






PROJECTED SPREAD
ACTUAL SPREADS
PROJ ECTED
ACTUAL
Team_Away
Team_Home
 Spread Away
 Spread Home
 AWAY ATS
 HOME ATS
 Variance
 OVER UNDER
NY Giants
Philadelphia
 LOSS
 LOSS
 LOSS
 LOSS
4.25
 LOSS
Washington
Chicago
 WON
 WON
 LOSS
 WON
14.42
 WON
Miami
Buffalo
 WON
 LOSS
 WON
 WON
22.83
 WON
Tampa Bay
New Orleans
 LOSS
 WON
 LOSS
 LOSS
9.92
 LOSS
Atlanta
Carolina
 WON
 WON
 WON
 LOSS
3.83
 WON
Minnesota
Green Bay
 WON
 WON
 LOSS
 LOSS
16.42
 WON
NY Jets
New England
 WON
 WON
 LOSS
 LOSS
7.25
 WON
Tennessee
Jacksonville
 LOSS
 LOSS
 WON
 LOSS
15.75
 LOSS
San Diego
Cleveland
 LOSS
 LOSS
 WON
 LOSS
3.33
 WON
Indianapolis
Oakland
 LOSS
 WON
 LOSS
 LOSS
20.42
 LOSS
San Francisco
Los Angeles
 LOSS
 LOSS
 LOSS
 WON
1.42
 WON
Arizona
Seattle
 LOSS
 LOSS
 WON
 WON
16.42
 WON
Cincinnati
Houston
 LOSS
 LOSS
 LOSS
 LOSS
(16.75)
 WON
Baltimore
Pittsburgh
 LOSS
 LOSS
 WON
 LOSS
14.33
 LOSS
Denver
Kansas City
 WON
 WON
 LOSS
 LOSS
6.83
 LOSS
Detroit
Dallas
 LOSS
 WON
 LOSS
 LOSS
26.67
 LOSS

WINS
6
8
6
4

9

LOSSES
10
8
10
12

7

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